Saturday, December 22, 2007

Predicting

Another offshoot of the Uncertainity Principle is that we can't use past data to predict the future, if we could then it takes the randomness out of life.
Or rather we would be in a position to chart out our lives, well we can, but then there is always the small chance that things don't go the way we predict, a small chance but then a very strong chance that it can be plausible.

So slim is this chance that we have the theory of evolution based on probablity, and probablity that has been theorised to be possible. I mean it makes us wonder if life indeed is that random, that life's origin was just a random event, it is pretty much like expecting a chimp punching on the keys of a typewriter and voila at some point of time the chimp would come up with Homer's - Iliad.

The chances are way too slim, but then that is life or randomness as it has been theorised as "the origin of species".

If we do accept that life is random or uncertain; then it would be silly to claim that we have achieved success or built empires or conquered markets, etc. I mean what we may have thought to have done was just a random lucky chance of a deal and we happen to seize on it.

This if true, then providence should visit upon all over a the long term.
I mean no one person is luckier than the other, events of life visit all, it is just a question of when do they visit each of us.

Actually, science does state it so, life is a poker game.
And they give it a name like: ergodicity

It can be explained as when a statistical analysis over the entire ensemble at a certain moment in time, and a statistical analysis for one element of the ensemble over a certain period of time are such that if the first one may not be representative for a longer period of time, while the second one may not be representative for all the people resulting in 2 results.
The idea is that an ensemble is ergodic if the two types of statistics give the same result.

In simpler words over a long period of time the results tend to be similar, which goes on to say that all of us are given the same chances in life.
Some get it earlier while some get it later.
Life just averages out in the end for each an every one.

No comments: