Predicting the future that involves us and so ipso facto a difficult task as our presence affects the future:
The 3 possible outcomes of a prediction, whether we agree or disagree with the prediction:
1. Many people could actually believe the prediction, which eventually is predilection to encourage the event, such that the prediction becomes self-fulfilling.
2. No on really believes the prediction, but it happens anyway.
A chance coincidence is what people would call it in hindsight.
3. Many people could actually believe the prediction, and take a precautionary approach and avert the prediction, which makes the prediction itself self-defeating.
The key aspect is not predicting the future, but our very presence in this future that can change it.
Monday, May 24, 2010
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